Pre-Session Overview
The VN-Index closed the previous trading session on 13/08 at 1,793.2 points, up 1.1% from the prior session and nearing the psychological 1,800-point level. Current conditions still show support tilting toward large-cap stocks, while the HNX-Index fell 0.8% to 288.5 points and the UPCOM-Index edged up 0.3% to 127.5 points.
In this context, the market is likely to test the 1,800-point level again in the morning session. Nearby support is seen around 1,780.0 points, while psychological resistance sits at 1,800.0 points.
International Developments and Overnight News
Overnight news continued to favor leading sectors, particularly real estate and consumer goods, as VIC, VHM, BCM, VNM, and MSN continued to provide support to the index. As a result, cash flow tends to concentrate in a handful of blue-chip stocks rather than spreading evenly across the market.
On the other hand, the revocation of LTG's public company status has increased company-specific risk for illiquid stocks. This is a factor to watch for stocks that are trading erratically or lack supporting information.
Notable Stocks on HOSE
In the previous session, the strongest gainers on HOSE included BCM, up 6.9%, DRH, up 6.9%, and PIT, up 6.9%. On the decline side, HHP fell 7.0%, HAS fell 6.8%, and GTA fell 6.5%.
| Ticker | Change | Exchange |
|---|---|---|
| BCM | +6.9% | HOSE |
| DRH | +6.9% | HOSE |
| PIT | +6.9% | HOSE |
| HHP | -7.0% | HOSE |
| HAS | -6.8% | HOSE |
| GTA | -6.5% | HOSE |
Liquidity and Market Leadership
HOSE liquidity continued to concentrate in familiar names, with SHB reaching 41.0 million shares, VIX reaching 31.5 million shares, and HPG reaching 15.9 million shares. Even so, the market's main signals still come from blue-chip stocks and names with a major influence on the index.
From a cash flow perspective, the current setup still leans toward accumulation at elevated levels. As the index approaches the 1,800.0-point zone, short-term volatility may appear if profit-taking pressure increases.
Notable Technical Signals
The technical screener shows that several stocks are maintaining a more positive trend than the broader market. The most notable is AIG with a composite score of 85.4, followed by SJG at 83.6 and VLB at 82.2.
- AIG: composite score of 85.4, with an uptrend in EMA and a bullish MACD.
- SJG: composite score of 83.6, with an uptrend in EMA and a bullish MACD.
- VLB: composite score of 82.2, with an uptrend in EMA and a bullish MACD.
HNX and UPCOM
On HNX, the strongest gainers were SVN, up 10.0%, and TXM, up 9.8%, while SMT and NAP both fell 10.0%. On UPCOM, DPC and SEA both rose 14.9%, while NWT dropped 39.7% and FTI dropped 32.4%.
These movements show that divergence remains very high outside the large-cap group. Investors should prioritize confirming signals rather than relying solely on short-term price swings.
Outlook for the 13/08 Session
The most likely scenario is that VN-Index continues to fluctuate at elevated levels and tests the 1,800.0-point threshold. If this zone is conquered, the index could extend its uptrend; conversely, selling pressure may push the market back to retest the 1,780.0-point support zone.
In the short term, large-cap real estate stocks, several banking tickers, and stocks showing positive technical signals remain the focus of attention. However, divergence will remain pronounced unless cash flow spreads more broadly across the market.